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Mei-Vald Index

MAY-vahld

The clear authority, isolated.

明 Mei — Japanese, “clear, bright”+Vald — Old Norse, “power, authority”

An adjusted plus-minus engine that isolates individual player impact from teammates, opponents, and lineup context — signal the box score can't see.

Decision support for coaches, not decision authority: a real-time deterministic rating in place of manual spreadsheet review for rotation decisions.

Live

What’s inside

The model

Sparse linear formulation: Yᵢ = β₀ + Σ(Team A βⱼ) − Σ(Team B βₖ) + γ_rot(i) + ε — isolates latent skill from rotational leverage

L2-regularized ridge solve — (XᵀX + λI)⁻¹XᵀY — handles the multicollinearity that synchronized substitutions create

Real-time, not end-of-season

Consumes Kai-Dom Engine's own hash-chained rally log directly — no separate data pipeline to keep honest

Displays as both a raw adjusted rating and an ELO-style MMR number

Scope, stated honestly

Heatmapping and ball-pathing are credited in the spec but not yet buildable — they need real per-touch x/y court coordinates the current token schema doesn't capture